no. 429

If you were to shuffle a deck of cards and draw out ten cards, the chances of the sequence you drew coming up are in the trillions, no matter what the cards are. If you drew out an ordered suit, it would be astonishing, but the chances are the same as any other set of ten cards. The meaning is a human construct.

David McRaney, discussing the Texas sharpshooter fallacy, in his book, You Are Not So Smart (p42)


Hey, you want to see the truth of this first hand? Play poker, but make the worst hands the winners.